The Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) and the Lithuanian Farmer and Greens Union (LVŽS) remain at the top of party ratings, the most recent Spinter Tyrimai survey shows.
Ramūnas Karbauskis and Gabrielius Landsbergis
© DELFI / Domantas Pipas

Compared to surveys in January and February, there were no changes in the party ratings that would have exceeded the 3.1% error margin. The ratings leaders have only further reinforced their positions. The only significant decrease was in the number of undecided voters.

Head of Spinter Tyrimai Ignas Zokas noted that with attention on the municipal elections and more local contexts as well as the accelerating presidential campaign, the focus has been drawn away from the parties, thus leading to such stability.

Vilnius University Institute of International Relations and Political Science (VU TSPMI) political scientist Kęstutis Girnius points out how the greatest change in the ratings is the decrease in undecided voters or those unwilling to vote. He says this contracts the grey zone.

"Earlier there were many such people. I believe that it could be that people have clearer views and are prepared to choose a specific party. We see growth everywhere, the only group where the percentage declined a little was Order and Justice," K. Girnius summarised the results, noting that the parties gaining support may be linked not to specific events, but voters' views crystallising.

While S. Skvernelis remains firmly in the lead of the rating of who should be prime minister, K. Girnius notes that there is little to celebrate when only roughly one of six think he is best suited for the office.

Leaders remain the same

Based on a Spinter Tyrimai survey on February 18-28 commissioned by the Delfi news portal, the TS-LKD remained at the lead in the ratings with 21.1% support in February, up from 18.3% in January.

In second was the LVŽS, with support of 17.1% in February, up from 15.5% in January. In third was Gintautas Paluckas' Social Democratic Party, with support of 7.4%, down from 7.6% in January. The Labour Party would also have entered Seimas based on survey results, with 5.6% support in February, up from 4.8% in January.

The Electoral Action of Poles were left outside the margins, remaining at the same ratings as in January – 4.5%. Order and Justice Party support waned, dropping from 5.7% in January to 4.4% in February.

In February, 4% of survey takers would have voted for the Liberal Movement, up from 3.1% in January, while the Lithuanian Centre Party would have received 2% of the vote, compared to 2.2% in January.

9.8% of survey takers in February were undecided, 11.1% would not have voted, while 13% would not know who to vote for.

Skvernelis holds first in prime minister ratings

The largest number of respondents thought that Saulius Skvernelis was most suited to holding the office of prime minister. This view was endorsed by 16.5% of respondents in February, down from 17.7% in February.

In second is Gabrielius Landsbergis with a prime minister rating of 10.2%, up from 9.6% in February. Minister of Transport and Communications Rokas Masiulis holds third place with respectively 8.9% and 7.7% support. In Fourth is Algirdas Butkevičius, with 5.1% support in February, down from 7% in January.

Cabinet ratings – tragic

Respondents remained critical of the cabinet. Its actions received positive or likely positive ratings from 31.4% of survey takers in February, compared to 31.3% in January.

62% rated the cabinet's activities negatively or likely negatively in February, compared to 61.7% in January. 6.6% in February and 6% in January were undecided on how to rate or did not answer.

The public opinion and market research company Spinter Tyrimai performed a survey on February 18-28, 2019 on commission from the Delfi news portal. Residents aged 18 to 75 participated. The survey was performed as a standardised interview.

The combined research method was 60% face to face interviews and 40% online. During the direct interview, the survey was performed by professional survey takers. They lead conversations with respondents based on pre-made questions, noting answers on a table. The internet survey provided respondents with a link to an online survey the respondent could fill in independently at a convenient time. The link was unique, allowing only one submission.

1006 respondents were interviewed in total. The distribution of survey takers based on gender, age and place of residence is proportionate to the distribution of residents in Lithuania. The research error margin is 3.1%.

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