Scaremongering is bad, but so is the wishful thinking which has fuelled the West’s approach to Russia for decades. So it is worth pondering what a world would look like in which we lose, and Vladimir Putin gets what he wants.
For a start, having asked our weakest ally, Ukraine, to bear the greatest burden of the security crisis, we should hardly be surprised if it splinters under the strain. A war-weary population revolts against the hardships of reform. Russia mops up. Europe is faced with a resentful rump state, pla